tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6568178038332184462.post8146576575859018833..comments2023-03-25T02:25:10.011-07:00Comments on Brett Favre 444: BF444 aka The Million Dollar ManBrettFavre444http://www.blogger.com/profile/03060512893353395313noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6568178038332184462.post-73697077185791419782012-08-28T21:06:06.862-07:002012-08-28T21:06:06.862-07:00This post proves your entire life is meaningless. ...This post proves your entire life is meaningless. A million in winnings and less than 8 grand profit. LMAO what a colossal wasteAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6568178038332184462.post-81720464707955017712012-08-28T20:02:45.503-07:002012-08-28T20:02:45.503-07:00You're my hero!!!!! Too bad you still cannot p...You're my hero!!!!! Too bad you still cannot properly spell 'pet peeve'...lol! +127 & change per Win isn't really plausible with your biggest win only being $1,400.00! Hell, I won a $1,600.00 & $1,200.00 within a 4-day span @ FanDuel, in MLB, last season!<br /><br />Let's all say it together...."Photo-Shopped"!!!<br /><br />Still, you're my hero - among true 'degens'!<br /><br />Read a real blog.....<br /><br />Unless your IQ is above 135, you've probably never heard of 'data trees'. Think of what a tree looks like? It's tall and it has branches. When developing any kind of 'system' (grading system or otherwise), you must do two things to create your 'data trees' - you must integrate the ability to 'Qualify' & 'Quantify' whatever it is you're trying to notice patterns in.<br /><br />Example: Because the Gators are so inexperienced at the QB position, I've made a 'Discretionary Call' that they are a 'C' grade team instead of a 'B' (A=5, B=4, C=3, etc.). That is a quantification & qualification.<br /><br />I've 'qualified' them as a 'C' TEAM, and their associated 'grade' (for the type of team I believe they'll be), is the 'quantification'.<br /><br />Now, Let's say an 'A' TEAM is playing a 'D' TEAM. Obviously, there's a talent disparity, correct? So, now the questions become much more direct. Such as: Will the Offensive Line from the A-Team be able to dominate? What is the history (ATS) between these two teams? Who has the Greater SOS? Which team has more offensive prowess? Which team allows fewer PPG? I think all of you get the point. And your list of 'Discretionary Call' questions can go on further, if you wanted.<br /><br />It's this laundry list of intangibles that is the handicapping process, once you've created clear lines of delineation between both squads.<br /><br />Next, is a closer look at the 'read between the lines' numbers (at least in my personal handicapping).<br /><br />Example: Which team has the better T.O.P. (Time of Possession) numbers? Does either QB possess a 4 to 1 or better TD Pass to Int ratio? Which team has the better +/- turnover ratio? And once again, your 'Tree' can have as many branches of data as you desire!<br /><br /><br />Now with regard to my PSM (Predictive Scoring Model)/"Grading System".....<br /><br /><br />5, 17, 22 = what? It equates to a clear pattern of three consecutive ascending grades, or "Progression".<br /><br />Let's assume that the team above has played 8-games on their schedule and the above-mentioned grades were from their L-3 games. 5/17 = 29.4, or a 70.6% increase - from 3-games ago (5) to that next/(17) graded game.<br /><br />Next, said team goes from a 17 to a 22, and some more 'Progression'. 17/22 = 77.3, or 100-77.3 is a 22.7% improvement, or progression.<br /><br />These are prime teams to BET AGAINST!!!! Why? Because, in theory, they are 'due' to regress!<br /><br />70.6 + 22.7 = 93.30/2(WIN-LOSE Variant) = 46.65, or, said team should regress in their next game by an estimated 47% in their upcoming affair.<br /><br />Just to keep the math simple, we'll say a 50% reduction, from their most recent grade of (22). That would equal an (11).<br /><br />Finally, if we know what an (11) grade equals in terms of probable points scored, then, we now have a BI (Basic Initial) score for them. After that, it's simply a matter of making a few 'Discretionary Adjustments' and you'll arrive at a projection that you will feel is accurate!<br /><br />In this screen shot below, my mentor (JOSEPH J. TUTTLE) only gave a +1 to SC, and a -7 to Vanderbilt. He arrived at the final score of (31-20); after originally showing a (30-27) win by S. Carolina.<br /><br />I truly hope that this helped.<br /><br /><br />Signed,<br /><br />Ted ForestJoseph J. Tuttlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16156004018407135191noreply@blogger.com